BOXINGAPI

Biggest boxing upsets

When the price was wrong.

Every priced bout carries its opening and closing line, so every underdog win can be ranked by how unlikely the market said it was. Built from our results and our odds since 2016, refreshed every hour.

619underdog wins
1 in 8priced bouts
+2750the longest
Closing price4 Aug 2018
Underdog won

Viviane Obenauf beat Natasha Jonas

TKO 4 · Lost WBA International female super-featherweight title
Closing price+2750
Chance it implied3.4%

The list

The upsets of 2025

Each view has its own address: a year, title fights or women's bouts.

#BoutMethodTitleChanceOpeningClosing price
1
Armando Reséndiz beat Caleb Plant31 May 2025
SD 12Resendiz wins WBA Interim Super Middleweight Title 9.4% chance +1020+900
2
Naheem Parker beat Justin Palmieri11 Oct 2025
UD 6· 11.4% chance +720+720
3
Jorge Garcia Perez beat Charles Conwell19 Apr 2025
SD 12· 13.7% chance +410+580
4
Tom Cowling beat Aaron Bowen29 Nov 2025
SD 10For vacant BBBofC Midlands Area middleweight title 14.2% chance +650+540
5
René Santiago beat Shokichi Iwata13 Mar 2025
UD 12Won WBO light-flyweight title 15.1% chance +430+520
6
Abass Baraou beat Yoenis Tellez23 Aug 2025
UD 12Won WBA interim light-middleweight title 15.4% chance +360+500
7
Tiara Brown beat Skye Nicolson22 Mar 2025
SD 10Lost WBC female featherweight title 15.5% chance +300+500
8
Maciej Sulęcki beat Ali Akhmedov28 Feb 2025
TKO 10Won vacant WBC Silver super middleweight title 15.6% chance +500+500
9
Yuni Takada beat Goki Kobayashi24 Jan 2025
SD 12Lost WBO Asia Pacific mini-flyweight title 15.3% chance +500+500
10
Lewis Crocker beat Paddy Donovan13 Sep 2025
SD 12Won vacant IBF welterweight title 16.8% chance +300+450
11
Elif Nur Turhan beat Shauna Browne1 Mar 2025
TKO 1· 16.7% chance +540+450
12
Wesley Ferrer beat Giovanni Marquez20 Sep 2025
SD 8· 18.5% chance +410+410
13
Rene Tellez Giron beat Jordan White5 Sep 2025
UD 10For vacant NABF lightweight title 18.3% chance +168+410
14
Blake Wells beat Andrei Mikhailovich6 Apr 2025
SD 6· 18.5% chance +410+410
15
Shadasia Green beat Savannah Marshall11 Jul 2025
SD 10Lost IBF female super-middleweight title; for WBO female super-middleweight title 18.5% chance +260+400
16
Labinot Xhoxhaj beat Mourad Aliev7 Jun 2025
UD 12Lost WBC International Silver heavyweight title;For European heavyweight title 20.4% chance +270+360
17
René Santiago beat Kyosuke Takami17 Dec 2025
SD 12Lost WBA light-flyweight title;For WBO light-flyweight title 20.6% chance +360+350
18
Jeamie Tshikeva beat Frazer Clarke29 Nov 2025
SD 12For vacant British heavyweight title 20.1% chance +350+350
19
Steven Ward beat Tommy McCarthy1 Mar 2025
PTS 6· 21.5% chance +330+325
20
Zak Miller beat Masood Abdulah8 Feb 2025
MD 12Lost Commonwealth featherweight title; for vacant British featherweight title 22.2% chance +340+320
21
Elif Nur Turhan beat Beatriz Ferreira6 Dec 2025
TKO 5Lost IBF female lightweight title 22.8% chance +260+300
22
Takuma Inoue beat Tenshin Nasukawa24 Nov 2025
UD 12Won vacant WBC bantamweight title 24.6% chance +400+275
23
Fabio Wardley beat Joseph Parker25 Oct 2025
TKO 11Won WBO interim heavyweight title 25.8% chance +560+240
24
Ekow Essuman beat Josh Taylor24 May 2025
UD 12Won vacant WBO Global welterweight title 27.4% chance +240+240
25
Mai Soliman beat Jasmine Parr7 Nov 2025
TKO 7IBF International Super Flyweight Women's Title 27.3% chance +184+225
Underdog wins, 2016 to 2026

About 1 in 8

of priced professional bouts; 2024 was the wildest year at 16%
2016: 49 of 462 (10.6%) 16 11% 2017: 50 of 443 (11.3%) 17 2018: 56 of 451 (12.4%) 18 2019: 64 of 550 (11.6%) 19 2020: 38 of 316 (12.0%) 20 2021: 56 of 489 (11.5%) 21 2022: 54 of 588 (9.2%) 22 2023: 71 of 605 (11.7%) 23 2024: 97 of 592 (16.4%) 24 16% 2025: 53 of 461 (11.5%) 25 2026: 31 of 304 (10.2%) 26 10%

All underdog winsWon at +300 or more

The biggest upset of each year
  • 2019Mateo Damian Veron beat Lolenga Mock+1800
  • 2020Jeison Rosario beat Julian Williams+1200
  • 2021James Martin beat Vito Mielnicki Jr.+1000
  • 2022Jurmain McDonald beat Evan Holyfield+1500
  • 2023Larry Fryers beat Dimash Niyazov+900
  • 2024Travis Floyd beat Chase Martinez+900
  • 2025Armando Reséndiz beat Caleb Plant+900
  • 2026Benjamin Mendes Tani beat Daniel Lapin+1400
01

How they are ranked

By the winner's closing price: the last price before the first bell, the best across the books we read. The chance shown is that price with the bookmaker's margin taken out.

02

What counts

Professional bouts with a price on both sides and a decided winner. Draws and no contests are left out; a disqualification counts as the result it was.

Every upset in one call: GET /v1/upsets?min_odds=300

Read the odds and upsets guide