BOXINGAPI

Biggest boxing upsets

When the price was wrong.

Every priced bout carries its opening and closing line, so every underdog win can be ranked by how unlikely the market said it was. Built from our results and our odds since 2016, refreshed every hour.

619underdog wins
1 in 8priced bouts
+2750the longest
Closing price4 Aug 2018
Underdog won

Viviane Obenauf beat Natasha Jonas

TKO 4 · Lost WBA International female super-featherweight title
Closing price+2750
Chance it implied3.4%

The list

The upsets of 2026

Each view has its own address: a year, title fights or women's bouts.

#BoutMethodTitleChanceOpeningClosing price
1
Benjamin Mendes Tani beat Daniel Lapin23 May 2026
TKO 4Lost IBF Inter-Continental and WBO International light heavyweight titles 6.4% chance +1400+1400
2
Zak Chelli beat David Morrell9 May 2026
TKO 10· 10.0% chance +800+850
3
Yukinori Oguni beat Marlon Tapales3 Apr 2026
UD 10· 13.7% chance +600+600
4
Edith Soledad Matthysse beat Samantha Worthington22 Feb 2026
RTD 8Won Interim WBA female light-welterweight title 14.6% chance +500+540
5
Irma García beat Emma Dolan5 Apr 2026
TKO 3For IBF female super-flyweight title 18.6% chance +310+400
6
Lani Daniels beat Shadasia Green17 Apr 2026
TKO 9Won IBF, WBO and The Ring female super-middleweight titles 19.5% chance +360+360
7
Kevin Walsh beat Michael Conlan20 Mar 2026
SD 10Lost WBC International featherweight title 21.9% chance +410+325
8
Nataly Delgado beat Jasmine Artiga13 Jun 2026
UD 10Won WBA super-flyweight title 23.8% chance +250+290
9
Brandon Figueroa beat Nick Ball7 Feb 2026
TKO 12Won WBA featherweight title. Later stripped of the title after missing weight (127.4 lb). 25.4% chance +270+270
10
Josh Kelly beat Bakhram Murtazaliev31 Jan 2026
MD 12Won IBF light-middleweight title 28.2% chance +300+225
11
Ermal Hadribeaj beat Bakary Samake23 May 2026
UD 12Won WBC Silver light middleweight title 31.8% chance +300+200
12
Cristobal Lorente beat Nathaniel Collins17 Apr 2026
SD 12Lost WBC Silver featherweight title 31.3% chance +188+188
13
Lourdes Juárez beat Yokasta Valle30 May 2026
SD 10Retained WBC light-flyweight title 32.8% chance +275+180
14
Mark Chamberlain beat Pierce O'Leary1 Aug 2026
TKO 10Won IBO super-lightweight title 33.0% chance +170+175
15
Bilal Fawaz beat Ishmael Davis21 Feb 2026
MD 12Won British and Commonwealth super-welterweight titles 34.7% chance +290+164
16
Danielle Perkins beat Che Kenneally22 Feb 2026
TKO 6Won WBA female light-heavyweight title 36.6% chance +220+152
17
Stephanie Han beat Holly Holm3 Jan 2026
TD 7Retained WBA female lightweight title 36.7% chance +172+144
18
Ryad Merhy beat Kevin Lerena30 May 2026
UD 12Won WBC bridgerweight title 42.0% chance +150+130
19
Paddy Donovan beat Karen Chukhadzhian15 May 2026
MD 12· 40.6% chance +130+130
20
Deontay Wilder beat Derek Chisora4 Apr 2026
SD 12· 39.1% chance +182+130
21
Cain Sandoval beat Brandun Lee28 Jun 2026
MD 10· 41.1% chance +150+125
22
Dalton Smith beat Subriel Matías10 Jan 2026
TKO 5Lost WBC light-welterweight title 40.9% chance +130+125
23
Sam Goodman beat Ryosuke Nishida27 Sep 2026
UD 12For Interim IBF super bantamweight title 40.3% chance +270+122
24
Emanuel Navarrete beat Eduardo Núñez28 Feb 2026
TKO 11Lost IBF junior lightweight title;For WBO junior lightweight title 41.6% chance +164+118
25
Lewis Edmondson beat Lyndon Arthur20 Jun 2026
UD 10For vacant WBA International light-heavyweight title 43.1% chance +114+115
Underdog wins, 2016 to 2026

About 1 in 8

of priced professional bouts; 2024 was the wildest year at 16%
2016: 49 of 462 (10.6%) 16 11% 2017: 50 of 443 (11.3%) 17 2018: 56 of 451 (12.4%) 18 2019: 64 of 550 (11.6%) 19 2020: 38 of 316 (12.0%) 20 2021: 56 of 489 (11.5%) 21 2022: 54 of 588 (9.2%) 22 2023: 71 of 605 (11.7%) 23 2024: 97 of 592 (16.4%) 24 16% 2025: 53 of 461 (11.5%) 25 2026: 31 of 304 (10.2%) 26 10%

All underdog winsWon at +300 or more

The biggest upset of each year
  • 2019Mateo Damian Veron beat Lolenga Mock+1800
  • 2020Jeison Rosario beat Julian Williams+1200
  • 2021James Martin beat Vito Mielnicki Jr.+1000
  • 2022Jurmain McDonald beat Evan Holyfield+1500
  • 2023Larry Fryers beat Dimash Niyazov+900
  • 2024Travis Floyd beat Chase Martinez+900
  • 2025Armando Reséndiz beat Caleb Plant+900
  • 2026Benjamin Mendes Tani beat Daniel Lapin+1400
01

How they are ranked

By the winner's closing price: the last price before the first bell, the best across the books we read. The chance shown is that price with the bookmaker's margin taken out.

02

What counts

Professional bouts with a price on both sides and a decided winner. Draws and no contests are left out; a disqualification counts as the result it was.

Every upset in one call: GET /v1/upsets?min_odds=300

Read the odds and upsets guide