BOXINGAPI

Biggest boxing upsets

When the price was wrong.

Every priced bout carries its opening and closing line, so every underdog win can be ranked by how unlikely the market said it was. Built from our results and our odds since 2016, refreshed every hour.

619underdog wins
1 in 8priced bouts
+2750the longest
Closing price4 Aug 2018
Underdog won

Viviane Obenauf beat Natasha Jonas

TKO 4 · Lost WBA International female super-featherweight title
Closing price+2750
Chance it implied3.4%

The list

Title fights, ranked by the closing price

Each view has its own address: a year, title fights or women's bouts.

#BoutMethodTitleChanceOpeningClosing price
1
Viviane Obenauf beat Natasha Jonas4 Aug 2018
TKO 4Lost WBA International female super-featherweight title 3.4% chance +1800+2750
2
Caleb Truax beat James DeGale9 Dec 2017
MD 12Won IBF super middleweight title 3.7% chance +1500+2500
3
Andrew Hernandez beat Arif Magomedov21 May 2016
UD 10Hernandez wins WBC / USNBC Middleweight Titles 3.8% chance +1300+2500
4
Byron Rojas beat Hekkie Budler19 Mar 2016
UD 12Won WBA minimumweight title 5.1% chance +1100+1800
5
Francesco Patera beat Lewis Ritson13 Oct 2018
SD 12For vacant European lightweight title 5.6% chance +1500+1600
6
Benjamin Mendes Tani beat Daniel Lapin23 May 2026
TKO 4Lost IBF Inter-Continental and WBO International light heavyweight titles 6.4% chance +1400+1400
7
Jeison Rosario beat Julian Williams18 Jan 2020
TKO 5Won WBA (Super), IBF, and IBO light middleweight titles 7.3% chance +600+1200
8
Andy Ruiz Jr. beat Anthony Joshua1 Jun 2019
TKO 7Won WBA (Super), IBF, WBO, and IBO heavyweight titles 7.9% chance +1000+1200
9
Diego Ramirez beat Bradley Skeete15 Dec 2018
TKO 2For vacant WBO International welterweight title 7.2% chance +1200+1200
10
Francesco Patera beat Edis Tatli7 May 2017
SD 12Lost European lightweight title 8.0% chance +1000+1100
11
David Brophy beat Zac Dunn17 Mar 2017
TKO 7Lost Commonwealth super middleweight title 8.5% chance +1150+1030
12
Femke Hermans beat Mary Spencer16 Dec 2022
UD 10For vacant IBO light-middleweight title 8.4% chance +750+1000
13
Jason Welborn beat Marcus Morrison25 Mar 2017
UD 10Won WBC International Silver middleweight title 8.7% chance +950+1000
14
Alexander Dimitrenko beat Adrian Granat18 Mar 2017
TKO 1Lost IBF International heavyweight title 8.7% chance +700+1000
15
Craig Cunningham beat Anthony Ogogo22 Oct 2016
TKO 8For vacant WBC International middleweight title 8.8% chance +550+1000
16
Charles Manyuchi beat Dmitry Mikhaylenko6 May 2016
UD 12Won vacant WBC Silver welterweight title 8.8% chance +700+1000
17
Blair Cobbs beat Ferdinand Kerobyan21 Mar 2019
UD 8Won vacant WBC-NABF Junior welterweight title 9.5% chance +880+925
18
Armando Reséndiz beat Caleb Plant31 May 2025
SD 12Resendiz wins WBA Interim Super Middleweight Title 9.4% chance +1020+900
19
Larry Fryers beat Dimash Niyazov17 Jun 2023
UD 1010 Rounds - Super Lightweight WBB World Super Lightweight Championship Title 9.5% chance +900+900
20
Paul Butler beat Jonas Sultan22 Apr 2022
UD 12For vacant WBO interim bantamweight title 10.6% chance +900+900
21
Jessica Gonzalez beat Tatyana Zrazhevskaya11 Sep 2021
SD 10Lost WBC interim female bantamweight title 9.3% chance +1100+900
22
Robert Helenius beat Adam Kownacki7 Mar 2020
TKO 4For vacant WBA Gold heavyweight title 9.3% chance +650+900
23
Jean Pascal beat Marcus Browne3 Aug 2019
TD 8Lost WBA interim and WBC Silver light heavyweight titles 9.5% chance +700+900
24
Ronnie Clark beat Zelfa Barrett24 Feb 2018
MD 12For vacant IBF European super-featherweight title 9.4% chance +1000+900
25
Yukinori Oguni beat Jonathan Guzmán31 Dec 2016
UD 12Lost IBF super bantamweight title 9.8% chance -1545+885
Underdog wins, 2016 to 2026

About 1 in 8

of priced professional bouts; 2024 was the wildest year at 16%
2016: 49 of 462 (10.6%) 16 11% 2017: 50 of 443 (11.3%) 17 2018: 56 of 451 (12.4%) 18 2019: 64 of 550 (11.6%) 19 2020: 38 of 316 (12.0%) 20 2021: 56 of 489 (11.5%) 21 2022: 54 of 588 (9.2%) 22 2023: 71 of 605 (11.7%) 23 2024: 97 of 592 (16.4%) 24 16% 2025: 53 of 461 (11.5%) 25 2026: 31 of 304 (10.2%) 26 10%

All underdog winsWon at +300 or more

The biggest upset of each year
  • 2019Mateo Damian Veron beat Lolenga Mock+1800
  • 2020Jeison Rosario beat Julian Williams+1200
  • 2021James Martin beat Vito Mielnicki Jr.+1000
  • 2022Jurmain McDonald beat Evan Holyfield+1500
  • 2023Larry Fryers beat Dimash Niyazov+900
  • 2024Travis Floyd beat Chase Martinez+900
  • 2025Armando Reséndiz beat Caleb Plant+900
  • 2026Benjamin Mendes Tani beat Daniel Lapin+1400
01

How they are ranked

By the winner's closing price: the last price before the first bell, the best across the books we read. The chance shown is that price with the bookmaker's margin taken out.

02

What counts

Professional bouts with a price on both sides and a decided winner. Draws and no contests are left out; a disqualification counts as the result it was.

Every upset in one call: GET /v1/upsets?min_odds=300

Read the odds and upsets guide